The Precision Wall: An Optimizer-Dependent Boundary for Optimization under Power-Law Measurement Spectra

In low-rank matrix sensing of a rank-$D$ factor $U^\ast \in \mathbb{R}^{V \times D}$, replacing isotropic Gaussian designs with power-law measurement covariance $Σ= \mathrm{diag}(j^{-s})_{j=1}^V$ leaves the Burer--Monteiro landscape free of spurious local minima, yet division-normalised first-order optimizers stall above a critical exponent $s^\ast$. We trace this failure to a numerical precision wall. At the ground truth, the smallest non-gauge expected Hessian eigenvalue scales at leading order as $V^{-(s+1)}D^{-s}$. When this curvature drops below the effective denominator floor $ε_O$ of optimizer $O$, normalisation noise overwhelms rare-direction gradients, yielding the leading-order boundary $s^\ast_O(V, D) = [\log(1/ε_O) - \log V]/\log(VD) + δ_O$, where $δ_O$ is a metric-dependent detection lag. With $δ_{\mathrm{Adam}}$ calibrated on four configurations and frozen, this formula predicts Adam's onset within $0.45$ across all 16 cells of a held-out grid ($V \in \{64,128,256,512\} \times D \in \{4,8,16,32\}$), separates fixed-$VD$ pairs, and distinguishes denominator-precision walls from conditioning and sign-quantisation walls. The approximation fails at $D = 2$, reflects a finite-$D$ spectral crossover, and saturates below $\varepsilon_0 = 10^{-8}$ at a dynamical floor.