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Life sciences · Preprint
arXiv · September 22, 2026
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Probabilistic time series foundation models (TSFMs) provide coordinate-wise predictive distributions, but these marginals do not determine a joint distribution over multivariate future trajectories. We study training-free coupling of frozen TSFM marginals into multivariate forecast sample paths. Our primary evaluation fixes the empirical marginal sample multiset at every channel--horizon coordinate across methods, isolating the effect of coupling alone. Historical temporal and channel relations substantially improve their corresponding dependence diagnostics. The same pattern persists when the fixed-marginal constraint is removed and paths are sampled directly, and remains present under native multivariate backbone inference. These results support treating dependence reconstruction as a distinct post-processing problem for probabilistic TSFMs.