SEP 2, 2026 · JOURNAL ARTICLE
Global burden of varicella in children aged 5-9 y, relationship with vaccination policy indicators, and projected trends to 2030.
Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics
A modelling study using machine learning to project future disease burden; lacks direct clinical outcomes, relies on historical registry data and predictive algorithms rather than intervention trials, and acknowledges critical data limitations that prevent causal inference on vaccine effects.
Reported
Global incidence 19901,028.46/100,000
Global incidence 20211,048.24/100,000
Global incidence 2030 (projected)897.01/100,000